TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rex Regum Qeonof Paper Rex, Rex Regum Qeon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex66c2,509$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.1278162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked Paper Rex63c1,212$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7685540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Paper Rex35c1,100$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Rex Regum Qeon33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rex Regum Qeon32c904.39$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9917543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Rex Regum Qeon31c776.38$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.638438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rex Regum Qeon64c772.88$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.691,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Rex Regum Qeon34c670$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.223847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rex Regum Qeon65c560.52$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.231,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex32c537.1$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8977929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Rex Regum Qeon34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33031232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Rex Regum Qeon33c499.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.989837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex69c436.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Paper Rex67c398.51$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26712151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Rex Regum Qeon69c375$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.239545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Rex Regum Qeon33c364.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.92650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Paper Rex21c298.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Rex Regum Qeon58c286.7$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8955348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Rex Regum Qeon31c250$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Paper Rex69c249.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.434346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Paper Rex13c211$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.628541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f0…a122backed Rex Regum Qeon51c206.47$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.291060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Rex Regum Qeon59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Rex Regum Qeon33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.533759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Paper Rex58c149.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4825141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac03…3840backed Paper Rex70c142.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Paper Rex12c129.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9527411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9992…99afbacked Paper Rex67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a5…0a8fbacked Paper Rex67c102$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.82785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+84.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Paper Rex46c98.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3914447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Rex Regum Qeon30c96.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6726738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Rex Regum Qeon73c92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f9e…f22bbacked Paper Rex43c89.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74731.9%15 W · 32 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa538…145dbacked Paper Rex47c88.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Rex Regum Qeon72c84.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.471450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Rex Regum Qeon32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a9e…a5dbbacked Paper Rex40c75.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Paper Rex67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507960.8%48 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fd…b33cbacked Paper Rex66c72.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef65…a496backed Rex Regum Qeon32c69.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.591650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Rex Regum Qeon58c56.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3614757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Rex Regum Qeon67c55.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed Rex Regum Qeon36c55.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7713540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f5d…e01bbacked Paper Rex50c55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Rex Regum Qeon51c54.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.839139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Rex Regum Qeon34c53.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.634940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rex Regum Qeon33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.514037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Rex Regum Qeon79c49.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Paper Rex30c47.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Rex Regum Qeon32c46.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.874040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex46c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.159042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Rex Regum Qeon65c38.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.462856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…2978backed Rex Regum Qeon59c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Rex Regum Qeon34c32.94$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9a…80cfbacked Paper Rex60c32.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Paper Rex65c23.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.