World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf87ed388c0cd9b1a20f5cc8a2c9359a5da700e871af3afc0d3c83d1b63998089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 1c | 15,067$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…504cbacked No | 1c | 14,136$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…8437backed No | 1c | 10,224$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 6c | 7,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6eb…cf16backed No | 4c | 6,270$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked No | 2c | 5,868$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed No | 2c | 5,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 3,854$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1553…0f61backed No | 1c | 3,773$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…2831backed No | 3c | 3,572$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…8933backed No | 1c | 3,374$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…d729backed No | 1c | 3,234$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 3,136$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 0c | 3,120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…354bbacked No | 3c | 2,996$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 1c | 2,960$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 16c | 2,853$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…20bebacked No | 1c | 2,774$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9995…d0d3backed No | 3c | 2,703$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 1c | 2,568$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…34a7backed No | 0c | 2,538$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9157…6fd1backed No | 1c | 2,423$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed No | 1c | 2,280$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 2,236$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…144bbacked No | 1c | 2,201$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 13c | 2,125$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 2,119$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed No | 1c | 2,032$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 3c | 1,867$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 1,853$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 1c | 1,755$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 1c | 1,677$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73b…b1e9backed No | 1c | 1,658$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 1c | 1,532$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 1c | 1,458$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 1c | 1,453$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 1c | 1,424$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…7641backed No | 1c | 1,356$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…c9f9backed No | 1c | 1,352$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 55c | 1,304$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…b9dfbacked No | 2c | 1,145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 59c | 1,103$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 43c | 1,102$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…b4b5backed No | 1c | 1,007$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…e001backed No | 1c | 1,002$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…2f95backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 58c | 994.18$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…e697backed No | 2c | 993.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…3d43backed No | 2c | 965.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…7acfbacked No | 1c | 922.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…713dbacked No | 1c | 913.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed No | 1c | 879.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +175.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 836.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1732…e713backed No | 2c | 759.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…f50abacked No | 1c | 705.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…e610backed No | 2c | 651.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 32c | 650.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 57c | 610.96$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33b…dacebacked No | 2c | 533.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 18c | 476.34$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 66c | 467.31$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…ae74backed No | 4c | 452.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…835bbacked No | 4c | 322.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…4d69backed No | 4c | 255.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…d784backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 42c | 199.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 175.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a18…6ffabacked Yes | 56c | 171.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 46c | 133.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed Yes | 55c | 106.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…6378backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 58c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…0e07backed No | 47c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 61.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9747…7232backed Yes | 73c | 51.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…29f1backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 55c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 48c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1429backed No | 47c | 37.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…3dc6backed Yes | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?this page
- U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.