TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, FULL SENSE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x665b…73babacked FULL SENSE41c4,690$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed FULL SENSE59c4,167$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.976056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Nongshim RedForce40c2,700$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Nongshim RedForce42c2,285$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.1713558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed FULL SENSE58c2,123$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.268551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Nongshim RedForce40c1,900$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FULL SENSE60c1,329$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.6924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed FULL SENSE60c1,317$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.323444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Nongshim RedForce43c1,300$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74128247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FULL SENSE2c1,049$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4127411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Nongshim RedForce40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed FULL SENSE19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Nongshim RedForce40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Nongshim RedForce66c999.85$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9519157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Nongshim RedForce55c900$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.618746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FULL SENSE60c757.87$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.729644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Nongshim RedForce41c609.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7510551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce78c534.33$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.841,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FULL SENSE49c488$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5728541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed FULL SENSE26c482.5$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.263729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Nongshim RedForce41c439.02$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0229733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed FULL SENSE21c421.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.678234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nongshim RedForce65c350.76$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5711854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked FULL SENSE58c346.61$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.034535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed FULL SENSE63c331.95$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked FULL SENSE60c288.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Nongshim RedForce38c259.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1912745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed FULL SENSE37c250.82$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7714957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nongshim RedForce41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Nongshim RedForce41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.523847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Nongshim RedForce41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.919655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Nongshim RedForce55c219.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5334253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Nongshim RedForce66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Nongshim RedForce41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1189139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim RedForce40c195$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11733753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nongshim RedForce49c184.23$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.226634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Nongshim RedForce41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9325843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed FULL SENSE57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FULL SENSE36c167.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked FULL SENSE62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2e…44c3backed Nongshim RedForce41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Nongshim RedForce58c137.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Nongshim RedForce41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FULL SENSE34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.486747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Nongshim RedForce42c108.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.49540%38 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Nongshim RedForce44c105$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.825141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed FULL SENSE67c103.39$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked Nongshim RedForce66c102.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.191947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked FULL SENSE35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nongshim RedForce41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked FULL SENSE64c99.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked FULL SENSE60c94.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7815042%63 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb6…046fbacked FULL SENSE23c93.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Nongshim RedForce59c91.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5914757.8%85 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Nongshim RedForce45c88.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8221454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Nongshim RedForce39c88.02$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.026051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed FULL SENSE57c84.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.161154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked FULL SENSE62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507960.8%48 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Nongshim RedForce72c73.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5139545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…615fbacked FULL SENSE44c71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.24742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked Nongshim RedForce43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FULL SENSE59c67.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4732141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Nongshim RedForce52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FULL SENSE52c57.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6817543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Nongshim RedForce36c47.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.221553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9a…80cfbacked Nongshim RedForce42c43.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FULL SENSE59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.617537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Nongshim RedForce39c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Nongshim RedForce40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Nongshim RedForce41c36.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.584040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Nongshim RedForce41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.710743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed FULL SENSE58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Nongshim RedForce65c29.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3630828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9e…f22bbacked FULL SENSE35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.154731.9%15 W · 32 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FULL SENSE58c27.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0162856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x050d…9c51backed FULL SENSE60c25.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed FULL SENSE43c24.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.336131.1%19 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7189…d623backed FULL SENSE62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce64c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf3…7513backed Nongshim RedForce62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe7…1311backed FULL SENSE62c18.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23132.3%10 W · 21 L-8.0wins-0.26per pick58cpaid-49.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc317…5e78backed Nongshim RedForce78c17.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…c11abacked Nongshim RedForce64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.