Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ef708753361c69c3d43c31d3d9a2876320e29fe2f0fc23b94ef38b74e6914d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b1e…947fbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…7147backed JD Gaming | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked JD Gaming | 0c | 6,099$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…f6f2backed Trace Esports | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed JD Gaming | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed JD Gaming | 50c | 2,329$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.21 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Trace Esports | 50c | 2,222$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…0c97backed JD Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a6…4c9ebacked JD Gaming | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…a17cbacked JD Gaming | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports | 43c | 811.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trace Esports | 46c | 772.18$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed JD Gaming | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Trace Esports | 48c | 544.45$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Trace Esports | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Trace Esports | 43c | 430$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.38 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Trace Esports | 50c | 327.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Trace Esports | 43c | 312$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Trace Esports | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed JD Gaming | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked JD Gaming | 55c | 208$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports | 45c | 204.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Trace Esports | 75c | 200.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Trace Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked JD Gaming | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Trace Esports | 56c | 183.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed JD Gaming | 56c | 183.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…bb47backed JD Gaming | 59c | 170.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports | 57c | 165.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c8…a78ebacked JD Gaming | 36c | 158.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…dd31backed JD Gaming | 51c | 147$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed JD Gaming | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 112$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Trace Esports | 41c | 110.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed JD Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed JD Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed JD Gaming | 25c | 96.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Trace Esports | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Trace Esports | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trace Esports | 50c | 64.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked JD Gaming | 39c | 58.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Trace Esports | 42c | 52.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed JD Gaming | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Trace Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…9091backed JD Gaming | 31c | 40.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Trace Esports | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c71…cc77backed JD Gaming | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Trace Esports | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…1311backed JD Gaming | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 58cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked JD Gaming | 53c | 38.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trace Esports | 42c | 32.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…a7e9backed Trace Esports | 51c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…e5c8backed JD Gaming | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed JD Gaming | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked JD Gaming | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Trace Esports | 55c | 29.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Trace Esports | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Trace Esports | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked JD Gaming | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Trace Esports | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.