Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x314ba2c9543e292c4b737a1c4e72787f7003b0c75751e2781cd5974e43b9b897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Hurkacz, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Hurkacz | 16c | 45,564$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,078.83 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Quinn | 56c | 32,038$18,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,980.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Quinn | 24c | 31,752$7,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,131.16 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Quinn | 24c | 24,666$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,725.49 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hurkacz | 27c | 18,557$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.7 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Quinn | 50c | 9,341$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,676.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hurkacz | 76c | 8,740$6,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,642.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Quinn | 46c | 7,629$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.66 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Hurkacz | 76c | 6,853$5,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.32 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Hurkacz | 75c | 6,318$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.44 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurkacz | 53c | 5,880$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.96 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Quinn | 54c | 5,661$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.82 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Quinn | 71c | 5,500$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.94 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Hurkacz | 77c | 5,070$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.72 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Quinn | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hurkacz | 66c | 4,218$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurkacz | 43c | 4,177$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.15 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Hurkacz | 75c | 3,906$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.24 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Hurkacz | 64c | 3,486$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.22 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Hurkacz | 61c | 3,371$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Hurkacz | 1c | 3,137$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Hurkacz | 54c | 3,105$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.65 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Hurkacz | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Hurkacz | 54c | 2,753$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.01 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Quinn | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…bc98backed Hurkacz | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurkacz | 69c | 2,192$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Hurkacz | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Hurkacz | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Hurkacz | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurkacz | 43c | 1,658$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.17 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…74cfbacked Hurkacz | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Hurkacz | 76c | 1,560$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Hurkacz | 77c | 1,524$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.58 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Hurkacz | 49c | 1,424$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.77 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Hurkacz | 76c | 1,420$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurkacz | 76c | 1,335$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.65 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…99d0backed Hurkacz | 1c | 1,306$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Quinn | 22c | 1,221$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.21 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Quinn | 24c | 1,025$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.65 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Quinn | 52c | 984.38$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.56 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hurkacz | 44c | 983.5$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.61 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurkacz | 49c | 970.5$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Hurkacz | 52c | 959.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Quinn | 25c | 935$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.47 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Hurkacz | 25c | 799.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Hurkacz | 53c | 744.16$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Hurkacz | 39c | 740.02$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Hurkacz | 76c | 684.21$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hurkacz | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Quinn | 48c | 612.24$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Hurkacz | 63c | 599.56$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…1496backed Hurkacz | 44c | 591.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Quinn | 22c | 564$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Quinn | 23c | 543.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Hurkacz | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Hurkacz | 50c | 504.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Hurkacz | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Hurkacz | 59c | 496.14$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Hurkacz | 61c | 437.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…178cbacked Hurkacz | 49c | 408.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Quinn | 49c | 341.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…4d09backed Hurkacz | 22c | 340$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Quinn | 23c | 333$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hurkacz | 40c | 326.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Quinn | 42c | 317.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Quinn | 42c | 305.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…8bb4backed Quinn | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Quinn | 47c | 278.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Hurkacz | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Quinn | 23c | 261$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Hurkacz | 55c | 258.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Quinn | 46c | 251.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hurkacz | 41c | 245.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Quinn | 57c | 221.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Hurkacz | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Quinn | 21c | 218.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Hurkacz | 26c | 204.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Quinn | 52c | 200.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Hurkacz | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Hurkacz | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Quinn | 53c | 194.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…f460backed Hurkacz | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Hurkacz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Hurkacz | 52c | 171.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Hurkacz | 76c | 156$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Hurkacz | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Quinn | 43c | 138.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Quinn | 51c | 135.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Hurkacz | 54c | 134.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Hurkacz | 80c | 132.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Hurkacz | 51c | 132.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Hurkacz | 76c | 132$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…f1b8backed Hurkacz | 76c | 131.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Hurkacz | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Quinn | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Quinn | 49c | 118.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…f4d3backed Hurkacz | 52c | 115.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…20fbbacked Hurkacz | 76c | 114.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Quinn | 42c | 106.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnthis page
- Hurkacz vs. Quinn: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Hurkacz vs. Quinn: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Hurkacz vs. Quinn: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Hurkacz vs QuinnQuinn won
- Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Quinn (+1.5)Quinn won
- Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-2.5) vs Quinn (+2.5)Quinn won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.