CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs illwill (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb512d03acbe1cadb139f27447fff06d5802a0f56fad05f37c0db5a0ecbb57b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNiTY esportsof UNiTY esports, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed illwill | 1c | 3,876$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed UNiTY esports | 61c | 1,478$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.3 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked illwill | 49c | 1,362$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed illwill | 65c | 1,206$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.82 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed UNiTY esports | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.2 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked illwill | 47c | 800$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed illwill | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed illwill | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 33c | 518.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.62 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed illwill | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed illwill | 55c | 499.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.93 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed illwill | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…1d27backed UNiTY esports | 72c | 153.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed illwill | 61c | 93.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed UNiTY esports | 64c | 90.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked UNiTY esports | 76c | 89.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…f99fbacked UNiTY esports | 75c | 82.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed illwill | 28c | 70.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed illwill | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…0983backed UNiTY esports | 43c | 56.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9f…a82fbacked UNiTY esports | 42c | 48.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed illwill | 40c | 44.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78b…a688backed UNiTY esports | 73c | 40.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…0f30backed UNiTY esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked illwill | 64c | 34.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked UNiTY esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked illwill | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked UNiTY esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed illwill | 65c | 29.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…e768backed UNiTY esports | 45c | 27.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed illwill | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…77dbbacked UNiTY esports | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs illwill (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.