Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dc1f8baa7715bbf1056afdfce9db81e7cdc6d9ea0edf0bffb83fbd860029d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nebraska Cornhuskersof Ohio State Buckeyes, Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 6,171$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 4,336$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 40c | 2,052$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 1,892$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.3 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 61c | 1,626$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.48 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 55c | 546.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.65 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 493.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 84.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…809fbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6666…c652backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Nebraska Cornhuskers | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…cd39backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…8162backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5)this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State BuckeyesNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 152.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 153.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 154.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 155.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.