Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f328795ed45c50b7b3c7d5b1260ba42c842c71bc150a9590b2360adbdfc62f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 78,855$40,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,782.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 59,021$28,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,920.1 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 16,997$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,476.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 49c | 2,003$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.28 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Over | 51c | 641.1$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 409.62$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 259.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 47c | 198$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 52c | 191$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Over | 54c | 143$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 139$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Over | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 48c | 51.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Under | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over | 51c | 36.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b7…667abacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 45c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Under | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Under | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 154.5this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State BuckeyesNebraska Cornhuskers won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 152.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 153.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 155.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5)Nebraska Cornhuskers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.