TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Clemson Tigers vs. Stanford Cardinal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, Stanford Cardinal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,816
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,816 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Clemson Tigers61c50,000$30,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,299.9412364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Stanford Cardinal39c30,000$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,70011652.6%61 W · 55 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Stanford Cardinal38c19,467$7,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,397.471,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stanford Cardinal40c18,789$7,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,569.781,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clemson Tigers60c10,611$6,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Clemson Tigers66c6,613$4,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.198639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Clemson Tigers61c6,488$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.2784147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clemson Tigers61c5,056$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Clemson Tigers62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stanford Cardinal39c4,553$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.7855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers60c4,522$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Stanford Cardinal42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Clemson Tigers57c3,342$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.543237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Clemson Tigers57c1,949$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.3213342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Clemson Tigers61c1,858$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.777337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Stanford Cardinal37c1,757$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.072853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stanford Cardinal35c1,535$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.361,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal56c1,491$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.332,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Clemson Tigers62c1,398$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.199848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Stanford Cardinal38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Clemson Tigers65c1,311$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6812045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Clemson Tigers62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.3218846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal19c1,268$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Stanford Cardinal45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Stanford Cardinal39c1,177$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal38c1,104$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.932,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal38c1,014$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Stanford Cardinal38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Clemson Tigers76c995.33$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.842,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stanford Cardinal37c985.84$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal34c923.62$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.792,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stanford Cardinal38c872.51$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Stanford Cardinal28c827.44$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6213651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stanford Cardinal56c821.42$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4571,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Stanford Cardinal39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6f…f6b2backed Stanford Cardinal38c790$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal35c770.96$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.251,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stanford Cardinal29c761.9$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.721,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Clemson Tigers79c744.14$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6213561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Clemson Tigers72c709.85$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.867656.6%43 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal38c694.29$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.143,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clemson Tigers74c680$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.791,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Clemson Tigers61c624.42$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.712,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal32c543.51$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.363,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Stanford Cardinal38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Clemson Tigers57c496$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Stanford Cardinal43c495.13$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1222640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Clemson Tigers62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8756444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Stanford Cardinal42c483.28$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20312435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Clemson Tigers62c418.41$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.222,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Stanford Cardinal22c406.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6331646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Stanford Cardinal39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15682048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Clemson Tigers61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Clemson Tigers55c345.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4525325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8151…d256backed Stanford Cardinal6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Stanford Cardinal39c320.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…2caebacked Stanford Cardinal16c316.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.113826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Stanford Cardinal36c301$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Clemson Tigers62c300$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.331546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Stanford Cardinal25c270$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.85141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Clemson Tigers62c264.52$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5245351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Stanford Cardinal40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Stanford Cardinal38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal38c241.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.774,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Stanford Cardinal43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Stanford Cardinal29c231.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Clemson Tigers55c230$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Stanford Cardinal35c228.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal39c219.18$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.893,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Stanford Cardinal39c216.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.628843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Clemson Tigers53c213.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.322556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Clemson Tigers66c200.32$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1212537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Clemson Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Clemson Tigers62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Clemson Tigers61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.724257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Clemson Tigers63c190.48$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.485050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Clemson Tigers62c183.87$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.874151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Clemson Tigers61c181$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Clemson Tigers61c177.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2914553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Stanford Cardinal39c160.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6812141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Stanford Cardinal38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Stanford Cardinal38c144$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9339742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Clemson Tigers59c136$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0234952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clemson Tigers59c131.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.371,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Clemson Tigers62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9735646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Stanford Cardinal39c118.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Stanford Cardinal38c108.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Stanford Cardinal50c100.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.011421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Clemson Tigers57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43419.8%4 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-83.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Clemson Tigers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Clemson Tigers61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3935650.8%181 W · 175 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Stanford Cardinal43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4344146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Stanford Cardinal38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Stanford Cardinal40c99.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Stanford Cardinal34c99.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.899259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Clemson Tigers61c94.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1217647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clemson Tigers62c90.95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Stanford Cardinal34c84.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6419332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal44c82.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.911,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.