Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339e9ed8a620b3dda25ef91eda310c753e5b1f11431d45e3722f4ae5d9504ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, Washington Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Washington Huskies | 25c | 2,128$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 1,547$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 69c | 1,038$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Huskies | 36c | 676.43$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan State Spartans | 66c | 541.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Washington Huskies | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Huskies | 37c | 433.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Huskies | 26c | 344.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 313.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Washington Huskies | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan State Spartans | 71c | 167.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Washington Huskies | 41c | 158.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Huskies | 14c | 147.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies | 36c | 138.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Washington Huskies | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 120.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Washington Huskies | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Washington Huskies | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Washington Huskies | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Washington Huskies | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 96.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Washington Huskies | 13c | 93.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington Huskies | 37c | 70.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 64.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 41.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Michigan State Spartans | 61c | 18.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskiesthis page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 140.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.