Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2c1fc6d80a44183c68a49375b679413e25342de3dea5dc3c1ea9418e434704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 579,442$314,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314,957.69 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 255,555$117,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,999.7 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 85,585$46,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,482.12 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 45c | 33,000$14,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,150 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 25,500$11,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,945 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 11,445$5,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 46c | 9,685$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.78 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 8,236$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,417.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 4,376$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 46c | 3,952$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.23 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 46c | 3,795$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.45 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 1,778$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.12 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.32 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 48c | 840.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 46c | 565.22$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.22 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 46c | 503.7$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 47c | 323.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 291.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 281$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 259.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 46c | 215.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 46c | 79.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Under | 46c | 78.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 46c | 74.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 48c | 55.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 46c | 52.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb3…380ebacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 46c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 47c | 40.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 49c | 36.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 46c | 29.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 46c | 25.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 46c | 22.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 140.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.