Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c199449744844fb0e057104dfe05c1c8b783c99e900b3de3e0023c05ef9f6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 52c | 162,496$84,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,493.41 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 53c | 20,733$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,817.53 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 11,327$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 8,045$3,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 50c | 5,125$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.45 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 5,035$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 2,204$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.47 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 50c | 1,589$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.37 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 1,318$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.33 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 371$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 67c | 365$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 49c | 324.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…ea7ebacked Under | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Under | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 187.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 51c | 147.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 52c | 106.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 94.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…f776backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 49c | 78.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 30c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 61.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…4b98backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 52c | 58.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Under | 77c | 46.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…ca70backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 36.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 49c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 51c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 49c | 23.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Under | 50c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 145.5this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington HuskiesMichigan State Spartans won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 140.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 141.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 142.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-3.5)Michigan State Spartans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.