UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dba91dc84c589a08c59f57c29d231a5f60a16d2516e01ef37e0278088e06f8c

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Colorado State Ramsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Colorado State Rams
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,223 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams	73c	14,266$10,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,851.18	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	7,500$2,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,025	301	39.2%118 W · 183 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	906	45.4%411 W · 495 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	31c	4,307$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.01	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Colorado State Rams	57c	2,047$1,175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.45	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Colorado State Rams	73c	2,002$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.54	605	48.9%296 W · 309 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Colorado State Rams	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	1,447$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.76	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	30c	1,418$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.51	423	27.2%115 W · 308 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State Rams	62c	1,334$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.05	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams	73c	1,276$935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.69	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	53c	1,169$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.61	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Colorado State Rams	76c	1,115$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.49	190	57.4%109 W · 81 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	50c	1,032$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.34	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	906$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.62	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	800$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	692.56$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.99	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Colorado State Rams	73c	686.3$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.3	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	68cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado State Rams	69c	610.65$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.71	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	43c	492.92$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.1	149	25.5%38 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams	63c	397.57$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.01	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	3c	384.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	342$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.34	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Colorado State Rams	45c	321$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.96	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Colorado State Rams	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	74	67.6%50 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	71cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	352	43.2%152 W · 200 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Colorado State Rams	58c	291.61$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.61	383	43.6%167 W · 216 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado State Rams	59c	277.46$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.76	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	35c	250.36$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.73	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	240$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	213.42$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	29c	210.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	365	35.9%131 W · 234 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	38c	207.68$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.92	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	-13.8wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	28-0.20 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	45c	163.07$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.91	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	30c	160$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d37…a714backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	58c	155.41$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Colorado State Rams	42c	148.41$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.08	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Colorado State Rams	52c	146.23$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.19	402	52.7%212 W · 190 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	35c	146.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.41	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	28c	124.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Colorado State Rams	55c	123.51$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.49	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Colorado State Rams	66c	121$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.59	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	29c	116.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	52c	115.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	140	62.9%88 W · 52 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Colorado State Rams	45c	112.09$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.09	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	42c	107.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.84	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	102$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.54	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Colorado State Rams	73c	102$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.54	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-5.7wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	346	49.1%170 W · 176 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Colorado State Rams	72c	99.97$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.99	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	35c	98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	614	46.1%283 W · 331 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	35c	96.66$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.21	307	46.3%142 W · 165 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado State Rams	43c	95.1$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.98	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	27c	93.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	152	50%76 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels	34c	83.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	42c	80.25$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b16…e8b8backed Colorado State Rams	47c	71.93$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.17	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	29cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	46c	61.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.45	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Colorado State Rams	72c	59$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	28c	53.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.89	150	37.3%56 W · 94 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Colorado State Rams	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	87	37.9%33 W · 54 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Colorado State Rams	74c	47.16$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.16	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+34%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Colorado State Rams	59c	44.47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	213	42.3%90 W · 123 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Colorado State Rams	51c	38.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b86…3010backed Colorado State Rams	73c	35.08$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	20	75%15 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Colorado State Rams	75c	35$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	160	53.8%86 W · 74 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Colorado State Rams	42c	30.57$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…4884backed Colorado State Rams	77c	30.13$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.97	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Colorado State Rams	72c	29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.12	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Colorado State Rams	64c	26.73$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	190	55.3%105 W · 85 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Colorado State Rams	74c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Colorado State Rams	66c	24.73$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels	65c	23.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Colorado State Rams	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Colorado State Rams	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	225	52.9%119 W · 106 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Colorado State Rams	70c	14.37$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.31	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Colorado State Rams	72c	14.19$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.97	194	54.6%106 W · 88 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Ramsthis page
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)Colorado State Rams won
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 149.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event