Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81577fec718503db210f8a9cddfef13f8f93d0e7393e18dc7d09b961b697dc57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado State Rams | 49c | 304.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 283$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Colorado State Rams | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 242.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 51c | 57.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-6.5)this page
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State RamsColorado State Rams won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 149.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.