Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struff

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee9fdabc9d3a7c9c8917875ac2fea1f69d67415781700069b076a5b7511492a

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Koprivaof Kopriva, Struff
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,458 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Kopriva	42c	7,460$3,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,314.72	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Kopriva	32c	4,971$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,358.33	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da8…e5afbacked Struff	51c	3,496$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,781.86	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kopriva	30c	3,134$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,192.6	1,106	41%454 W · 652 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Struff	67c	2,969$1,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,987.79	2,444	51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Struff	68c	2,925$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	69cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Struff	53c	2,083$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.12	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab5…9878backed Kopriva	47c	1,903$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.95	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Struff	46c	1,582$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.72	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Struff	11c	1,580$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.77	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…b2b3backed Struff	70c	1,400$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Struff	68c	1,302$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$887.46	106	40.6%43 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Struff	69c	1,288$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.55	45	60%27 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Struff	69c	1,287$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.53	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Struff	68c	1,191$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.1	308	47.7%147 W · 161 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Struff	61c	1,135$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.14	1,161	44.3%514 W · 647 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Kopriva	32c	920$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.6	288	35.1%101 W · 187 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Struff	68c	750$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	672	49.6%333 W · 339 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kopriva	27c	743.19$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.9	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Kopriva	75c	630.44$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.44	261	58.2%152 W · 109 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Struff	71c	557.39$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.73	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Struff	51c	538.91$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Struff	57c	489.77$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	588	59%347 W · 241 L	-9.2wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Struff	12c	400.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	3,072	44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L	-30.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Kopriva	33c	398.51$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Kopriva	57c	394$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.92	127	40.2%51 W · 76 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kopriva	36c	373.33$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.57	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Kopriva	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Kopriva	44c	277.52$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.09	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-8.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Struff	54c	250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	168	56%94 W · 74 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Kopriva	43c	204.21$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.82	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Struff	68c	200.73$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.5	101	86.1%87 W · 14 L	+14.1wins	+0.14per pick	72cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Struff	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	496	32.3%160 W · 336 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Kopriva	31c	189.41$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.23	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Struff	67c	187.03$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.31	88	25%22 W · 66 L	-9.6wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Kopriva	34c	176.47$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.47	174	32.2%56 W · 118 L	-15.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Struff	46c	153.75$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.03	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Struff	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Struff	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Struff	67c	149$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.83	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Struff	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	64%57 W · 32 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Struff	58c	142$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	4,474	51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L	+133.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa982…e2fcbacked Kopriva	16c	125$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.14	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Struff	52c	119.58$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.89	222	36.9%82 W · 140 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Kopriva	36c	118.37$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.18	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Struff	25c	114.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Struff	52c	103.85$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.9	2,343	51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L	+95.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0483…483bbacked Struff	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Struff	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Struff	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	238	52.1%124 W · 114 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Kopriva	34c	100$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	188	63.8%120 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Struff	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Struff	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Struff	65c	89.71$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.31	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Kopriva	40c	84.28$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Struff	53c	80.48$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.96	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-16.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kopriva	45c	76.55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.36	884	55%486 W · 398 L	+37.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Struff	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	940	60.6%570 W · 370 L	+11.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeabd…8115backed Struff	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Struff	69c	72.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Struff	78c	63.05$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	262	44.7%117 W · 145 L	-15.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Kopriva	33c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Kopriva	31c	58.6$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.43	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Struff	35c	56.08$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kopriva	49c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.17	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b86…3010backed Struff	77c	51.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	79.2%19 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	70cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Struff	65c	51$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kopriva	33c	49.71$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.1	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Kopriva	46c	49.21$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Kopriva	44c	46.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	40	50%20 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Kopriva	24c	44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.44	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Struff	69c	43.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,339	46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L	+55.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Kopriva	32c	38.55$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.17	930	48.8%454 W · 476 L	+21.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Struff	68c	36.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Kopriva	48c	35.41$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.31	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21cd…e7aabacked Kopriva	36c	30.56$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.56	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Struff	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	295	19.7%58 W · 237 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef4b…f8babacked Kopriva	48c	28.67$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.9	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2c…30f6backed Struff	69c	23.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed Kopriva	57c	22.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.45	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Struff	69c	21.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	249	31.3%78 W · 171 L	-10.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Struff	67c	21.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	7,753	47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L	+39.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Kopriva	56c	20.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5618…be67backed Struff	67c	15.66$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struffthis page
Kopriva vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Kopriva vs. Struff: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Set Handicap: Struff (-1.5) vs Kopriva (+1.5)Kopriva won
Set Handicap: Struff (-2.5) vs Kopriva (+2.5)Kopriva won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Australian Open Men's: Vit Kopriva vs Jan-Lennard Struff

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event