Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25feaa931a868d14a4dc3fe1d281e8de2c7c58a3aa4e41c8c866116495fb8121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0c | 3,632$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 31c | 1,884$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.01 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 1,263$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 668$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 30c | 633.48$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 9c | 602.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 551.32$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 67c | 472$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.47 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 12c | 286.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 70c | 280.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 26c | 253.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 34c | 215.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 11c | 193$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 77c | 168.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 67c | 146$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 32c | 97.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23c | 86.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17c | 79.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 74.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 58.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 68c | 42.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 32c | 33.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…643ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 79c | 26.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 154.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-5.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.