Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573f26690048761c8ea22d21dc3649a6238169df202c64083cc65b8a4c6d4a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 5,949$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.05 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 2,519$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.05 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 1,595$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.51 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 43c | 1,319$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.36 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 871.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 9c | 708.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 12c | 595.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 524.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 12c | 482.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 444.39$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 12c | 441.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 7c | 434.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…36e7backed Yes | 5c | 346$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 37c | 336.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 8c | 295.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 12c | 295$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 11c | 276.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 78c | 225.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 9c | 222.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 9c | 208.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 10c | 201.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 9c | 199.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 10c | 190.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…419bbacked Yes | 19c | 185.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 12c | 184.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 11c | 174.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 12c | 167.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Yes | 12c | 130.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 30c | 110.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…61dabacked Yes | 12c | 100.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed No | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…4d1cbacked Yes | 19c | 88.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 63c | 53.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…f78ebacked No | 71c | 46.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Yes | 41c | 44.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…fb66backed Yes | 27c | 42.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 59c | 17.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.