TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkacz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Hurkacz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,037
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,037 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Hurkacz34c38,551$13,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,047.197,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Hurkacz19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8008429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mensik71c15,606$11,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.042,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Mensik60c15,000$8,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,001.6427560%165 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Mensik71c12,107$8,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.651,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Hurkacz42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.143051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Hurkacz41c8,158$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.4858139.9%232 W · 349 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Mensik59c7,832$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.1536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurkacz21c5,988$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.522,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hurkacz35c4,822$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.4781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Hurkacz38c4,000$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…5189backed Mensik58c4,000$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde21…594dbacked Mensik58c3,920$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6281384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+63.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Mensik61c3,733$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.3155646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Mensik58c3,723$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Mensik59c3,388$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6351…51ffbacked Mensik58c3,208$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.361573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Hurkacz39c3,027$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.0811045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mensik60c3,003$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.7969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Hurkacz42c2,980$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.591,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Hurkacz17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Mensik61c2,634$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Hurkacz40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9917863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hurkacz9c2,410$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.892,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Hurkacz37c2,348$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.522,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Mensik58c2,336$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.653852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Hurkacz41c2,142$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.891,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurkacz41c2,122$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.491,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Mensik77c2,051$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mensik67c2,044$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.051,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurkacz25c1,789$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.442,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Hurkacz39c1,777$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.9473453%389 W · 345 L+36.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mensik69c1,752$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.5299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Mensik58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Mensik60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68070752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hurkacz41c1,678$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.756,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Hurkacz41c1,619$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.7524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hurkacz40c1,513$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.181,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Mensik58c1,476$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.054040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Mensik60c1,457$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.937544.3%166 W · 209 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Mensik60c1,420$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.728262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Mensik60c1,366$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.48343.4%36 W · 47 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Hurkacz15c1,300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19516133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mensik65c1,283$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.9397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurkacz33c1,270$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Hurkacz31c1,261$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.549530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Hurkacz43c1,174$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.681,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Mensik60c1,075$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.4668139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Hurkacz28c1,010$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.149632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Hurkacz43c918.27$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.8620542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Mensik69c851$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9373745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Mensik59c846.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.5652460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Mensik59c844.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Mensik61c822.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5811046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Mensik59c800.1$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0465157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mensik65c780.95$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.994,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Hurkacz40c756.8$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3736032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hurkacz40c750$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.54,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Hurkacz13c716.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mensik60c648$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.21,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Hurkacz42c603.44$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.4414536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mensik60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mensik60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…8dbbbacked Mensik61c580.83$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.83560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mensik56c574.59$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mensik60c560.37$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1578452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a37…7b01backed Hurkacz42c532.25$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2262454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Mensik64c504.69$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.692969%20 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Mensik60c500.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0913439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Hurkacz43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Mensik58c493$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.063050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hurkacz39c449$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.117,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea7…337cbacked Mensik73c446.49$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.771471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Mensik59c437.86$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5211530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Hurkacz41c428.91$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8510340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hurkacz41c417$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.881,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Mensik61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8443448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d76…d7a0backed Hurkacz33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Hurkacz44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17643353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3bc…c824backed Mensik61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Hurkacz32c390.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8f…d351backed Mensik58c382.76$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.763360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Mensik59c357.1$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.154348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Hurkacz42c354.76$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14946030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Hurkacz35c344.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Hurkacz19c342.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Mensik59c339.97$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3910440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Hurkacz44c336.48$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8455641.2%229 W · 327 L-2.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Mensik59c336.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1637854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…06e9backed Mensik58c300.03$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.913759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Mensik58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12626247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Hurkacz17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f63…4fe9backed Hurkacz40c288.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.05850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Hurkacz42c271.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11451849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Hurkacz44c269$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3643242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Mensik59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2423554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Hurkacz41c250$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Hurkacz40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Mensik60c248.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.774951%25 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500c…883cbacked Mensik60c248.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6314860.1%89 W · 59 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.