Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14809c954138dbc676680651d4a77c41bfb79a532fee2f3decccdcc17d06f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Vukic, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vukic | 18c | 3,081$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vukic | 22c | 2,361$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Vukic | 35c | 1,029$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.18 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Vukic | 11c | 939.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vukic | 16c | 715.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…c146backed Tiafoe | 66c | 612.07$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tiafoe | 66c | 602.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.16 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vukic | 36c | 594.81$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Tiafoe | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Tiafoe | 75c | 489.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vukic | 34c | 438.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.26 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vukic | 15c | 261.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Vukic | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Vukic | 39c | 183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vukic | 39c | 154.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.08 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Tiafoe | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vukic | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Vukic | 9c | 142.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Vukic | 34c | 125$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Vukic | 36c | 122$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vukic | 33c | 117$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 29c | 108.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Tiafoe | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Tiafoe | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Vukic | 20c | 98.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tiafoe | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Vukic | 16c | 70.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Tiafoe | 66c | 63.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tiafoe | 62c | 56.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vukic | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Vukic | 38c | 34.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Tiafoe | 61c | 31.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6c78backed Tiafoe | 66c | 31.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Vukic | 37c | 30.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Tiafoe | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Tiafoe | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Tiafoe | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa450…8515backed Tiafoe | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Tiafoe | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Tiafoe | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Tiafoe | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.