Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcf9409c36c6bf2444c6bdf9a1350f89e304b5d602eefe5a86d93ce56f2f9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof SMU Mustangs, Clemson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked SMU Mustangs | 19c | 5,993$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.43 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Clemson Tigers | 63c | 4,500$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clemson Tigers | 79c | 3,688$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Clemson Tigers | 64c | 3,022$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 2,695$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Clemson Tigers | 67c | 1,910$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.44 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked SMU Mustangs | 37c | 1,897$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.04 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 1,885$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 6c | 1,872$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 7c | 1,415$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 1,088$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.75 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed SMU Mustangs | 8c | 733.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…723cbacked SMU Mustangs | 2c | 525$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked SMU Mustangs | 3c | 440.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked SMU Mustangs | 39c | 412.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.92 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU Mustangs | 33c | 399.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.47 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Clemson Tigers | 73c | 382.6$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clemson Tigers | 65c | 348.38$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Clemson Tigers | 77c | 311.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 309.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.47 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked SMU Mustangs | 5c | 282.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed SMU Mustangs | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed SMU Mustangs | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SMU Mustangs | 11c | 172.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clemson Tigers | 79c | 171$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Clemson Tigers | 79c | 170.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SMU Mustangs | 14c | 139$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed SMU Mustangs | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Clemson Tigers | 64c | 82.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed SMU Mustangs | 39c | 64.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 62.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 55.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed Clemson Tigers | 74c | 50.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed SMU Mustangs | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Clemson Tigers | 63c | 49.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Clemson Tigers | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked SMU Mustangs | 36c | 33.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…f477backed Clemson Tigers | 62c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Clemson Tigers | 62c | 16.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…b6f7backed Clemson Tigers | 62c | 16.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…d3f9backed Clemson Tigers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigersthis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)Clemson Tigers won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.