Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69fd871a21d84ae3aee426acfcf8221a41bd9829b26b07ffb8c2442c20e208c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemson Tigersof Clemson Tigers, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clemson Tigers | 50c | 6,532$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Clemson Tigers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 4,079$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.78 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 3,622$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.95 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 1,269$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Clemson Tigers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clemson Tigers | 54c | 96.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Clemson Tigers | 51c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Clemson Tigers | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)this page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson TigersClemson Tigers won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Clemson Tigers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Clemson Tigers (-4.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.