Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf897d3df20b1ceaca6268acb5210d9a5c23bcfa9c31f10d3ceeb1411a90f7de2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Tearlaments
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Tearlaments | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tearlaments | 1c | 4,701$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tearlaments | 15c | 3,753$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.68 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tearlaments | 11c | 3,487$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Tearlaments | 38c | 3,325$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.39 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Tearlaments | 6c | 3,155$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2db4backed Tearlaments | 13c | 3,131$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed Tearlaments | 14c | 2,050$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…5db1backed Tearlaments | 10c | 2,041$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Tearlaments | 14c | 2,000$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,932$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,790$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.66 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…f025backed Tearlaments | 13c | 1,780$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tearlaments | 22c | 1,764$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.37 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Tearlaments | 23c | 1,583$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.71 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tearlaments | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,450$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Tearlaments | 14c | 1,212$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.68 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tearlaments | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tearlaments | 28c | 1,104$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Tearlaments | 40c | 1,004$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 993.87$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Tearlaments | 21c | 971.15$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Tearlaments | 31c | 937$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…4293backed Tearlaments | 14c | 839$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 815.31$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 794.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Tearlaments | 21c | 659.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tearlaments | 24c | 619.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tearlaments | 40c | 564.52$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.47 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tearlaments | 13c | 512$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c62…70bbbacked Tearlaments | 14c | 505$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tearlaments | 18c | 501.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Tearlaments | 2c | 457.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…45ddbacked Tearlaments | 4c | 451.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…4d64backed Tearlaments | 13c | 425$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Tearlaments | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 397.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Tearlaments | 15c | 396$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Tearlaments | 12c | 382.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 380$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tearlaments | 13c | 369.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 360.81$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tearlaments | 5c | 347.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Tearlaments | 15c | 340$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Tearlaments | 4c | 339.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Tearlaments | 30c | 338.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Tearlaments | 13c | 320$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed Tearlaments | 14c | 317$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Tearlaments | 7c | 312.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Tearlaments | 10c | 299.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 299.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Tearlaments | 13c | 280$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 276.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Tearlaments | 13c | 258.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 242.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 239.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 218.63$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 216.67$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tearlaments | 22c | 203.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Tearlaments | 12c | 180.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Tearlaments | 14c | 179.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Tearlaments | 15c | 178.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed Tearlaments | 6c | 171.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed Tearlaments | 15c | 157.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Tearlaments | 30c | 145.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…c54fbacked Tearlaments | 15c | 136.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Tearlaments | 12c | 135.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Tearlaments | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked Tearlaments | 13c | 101.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Tearlaments | 17c | 100.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Tearlaments | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tearlaments | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Tearlaments | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked Tearlaments | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Tearlaments | 22c | 89.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 89.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…793ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a48cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 79.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Tearlaments | 15c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tearlaments | 15c | 74.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…3534backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 72.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 71.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Tearlaments | 25c | 69.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 67.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…74c9backed Tearlaments | 18c | 60.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Tearlaments | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Tearlaments | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Tearlaments | 29c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Tearlaments | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 25.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…99f1backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tearlaments - Game 2 WinnerTearlaments won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.