Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9c0207c8070488aa678df3b13b740183b9bd860fe1695f3cbfcdc029e6a40e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 43c | 23,232$10,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,085.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 60c | 12,170$7,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.23 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed PARIVISION | 75c | 9,852$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Heroic | 35c | 8,586$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 8,443$5,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.9 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 33c | 8,350$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.32 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Heroic | 32c | 7,013$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.45 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 35c | 6,747$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.53 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 78c | 6,059$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.93 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed PARIVISION | 57c | 5,779$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.27 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 30c | 5,738$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…053ebacked PARIVISION | 57c | 4,967$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Heroic | 52c | 4,023$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 58c | 4,000$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 3,784$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,356$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.55 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Heroic | 31c | 3,223$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,150$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 38c | 2,872$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.23 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 2,755$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.85 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 2,575$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.88 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 37c | 2,510$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.73 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…f349backed Heroic | 34c | 2,487$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 2,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…a6ffbacked Heroic | 27c | 2,400$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…f525backed Heroic | 34c | 2,400$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed PARIVISION | 53c | 2,274$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,243$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…6f4ebacked Heroic | 28c | 2,120$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Heroic | 44c | 2,086$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.73 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked Heroic | 32c | 1,871$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Heroic | 34c | 1,871$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.19 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,732$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed PARIVISION | 70c | 1,714$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.35 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,697$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.78 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…5985backed Heroic | 28c | 1,650$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic | 25c | 1,609$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.28 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Heroic | 32c | 1,572$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,560$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.1 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,436$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.27 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Heroic | 26c | 1,350$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.48 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 72c | 1,336$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 1,254$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.59 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,213$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.19 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 32c | 1,192$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 1,190$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Heroic | 39c | 1,148$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.8 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,129$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.81 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,112$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.83 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Heroic | 21c | 1,072$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Heroic | 46c | 1,060$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.71 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,046$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.34 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Heroic | 36c | 1,041$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.85 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic | 29c | 1,005$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.53 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 33c | 995.35$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 69c | 946.07$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.42 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 50c | 940.48$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…f191backed PARIVISION | 73c | 900$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked PARIVISION | 55c | 880.05$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.06 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…20b5backed PARIVISION | 72c | 850$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 28c | 800$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…cab2backed PARIVISION | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfad…b54fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…9304backed PARIVISION | 72c | 750$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…f32abacked PARIVISION | 72c | 720$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d4…21e5backed PARIVISION | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 699.72$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Heroic | 25c | 688.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked PARIVISION | 63c | 665.07$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…f6ffbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 650$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 643.17$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked PARIVISION | 46c | 642.53$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed PARIVISION | 71c | 636.67$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 26c | 599.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.62 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Heroic | 34c | 591.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed PARIVISION | 75c | 587$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked PARIVISION | 64c | 586.46$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Heroic | 5c | 583.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed PARIVISION | 70c | 569.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…46efbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 563.25$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 37c | 544.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 510.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Heroic | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Heroic | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Heroic | 27c | 472$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 40c | 453.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed PARIVISION | 73c | 439.93$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 33c | 399.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 393.11$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed PARIVISION | 70c | 387.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Heroic | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…d596backed Heroic | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 312.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed PARIVISION | 50c | 300.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.