Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f40e16809d8f4501fbf655e865fa876e2ada53f372450c309f8b0766d133923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 5,184$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.66 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Heroic | 20c | 3,032$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed PARIVISION | 74c | 2,904$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.96 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…3d8abacked Heroic | 31c | 2,700$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 80c | 2,592$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.87 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION | 71c | 2,238$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.06 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 33c | 2,107$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heroic | 32c | 2,104$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.25 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Heroic | 38c | 1,927$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.72 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Heroic | 32c | 1,245$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.11 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,191$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 26c | 1,156$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 29c | 1,103$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Heroic | 14c | 999.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 3c | 981$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 28c | 946.84$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Heroic | 5c | 816.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 743.66$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 549.6$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Heroic | 5c | 521.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 363.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 349.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Heroic | 31c | 324.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Heroic | 36c | 312.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed PARIVISION | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 259$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa05…1f6ebacked Heroic | 14c | 250.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 70c | 209.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…5473backed PARIVISION | 52c | 190$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c6…7d8cbacked Heroic | 29c | 189.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed PARIVISION | 69c | 182.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…028dbacked Heroic | 14c | 166.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Heroic | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Heroic | 26c | 161.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Heroic | 27c | 154.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed Heroic | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Heroic | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…104ebacked Heroic | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Heroic | 34c | 102.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Heroic | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed PARIVISION | 73c | 98.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Heroic | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…2852backed PARIVISION | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Heroic | 21c | 61.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed PARIVISION | 65c | 55.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 49.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Heroic | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…cf64backed Heroic | 36c | 47.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed PARIVISION | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Heroic | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed PARIVISION | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Heroic | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed PARIVISION | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)PARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.