NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x858741eb400427c3f42a78527dda2f77da987ffe621d62fdeb3f7f7afe8f688c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Hawks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 51c | 44,167$22,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,642.33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hawks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Hawks | 49c | 19,133$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,375.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Hawks | 51c | 15,939$8,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,129.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed 76ers | 49c | 7,840$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,998.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed 76ers | 51c | 6,271$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.76 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 49c | 5,513$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 50c | 5,347$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 48c | 4,948$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.48 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…4175backed Hawks | 52c | 4,948$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked 76ers | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed 76ers | 49c | 4,099$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.38 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed 76ers | 49c | 4,001$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks | 52c | 1,933$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked 76ers | 49c | 1,627$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.53 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked 76ers | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 76ers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hawks | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 49c | 976.82$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.64 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed 76ers | 51c | 564.71$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hawks | 52c | 381.85$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.56 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…1e95backed Hawks | 51c | 347.16$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed 76ers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Hawks | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed 76ers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed 76ers | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked 76ers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed 76ers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Hawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…5273backed 76ers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked 76ers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed 76ers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed 76ers | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Hawks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed 76ers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Hawks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked 76ers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 76ers | 48c | 43.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed 76ers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked 76ers | 49c | 37.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Hawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…c803backed 76ers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked 76ers | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Hawks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…4daabacked Hawks | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…b8d2backed 76ers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Hawks | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- 76ers vs. HawksHawks won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.