NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff649b54d00a2d4e430a0faa7e4ae6732a91935f028b6882359a0935f95c1e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 54c | 9,044$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.2 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 52c | 5,363$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.09 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.25 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 4,855$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 50c | 3,971$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.16 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 3,782$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 2,709$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 56c | 1,341$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 1,253$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.06 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Over | 62c | 1,136$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 50c | 811.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 45c | 654$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 626.55$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.81 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 32c | 622.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 600$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 565.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 540.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 50c | 487.6$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 441.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -11.2wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 236$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 178.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6611…17e7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…b4afbacked Over | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 84.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 79.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…568dbacked Over | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…fb43backed Over | 47c | 37.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Over | 49c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 22.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…f449backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…f653backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e1…9dc0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4036…5a2bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…3d78backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-0.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- 76ers vs. HawksHawks won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 224.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.