NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bc13f46249c84d6fd578f69d297e2071a8f9b731e2ca3a7319954a4c75347fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Lakers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Lakers | 48c | 17,201$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 52c | 11,788$6,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Suns | 54c | 4,883$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.83 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Suns | 56c | 3,591$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.46 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 45c | 3,120$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Lakers | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 54c | 1,497$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.04 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,097$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.07 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Suns | 58c | 1,078$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.76 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 56c | 844.85$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.84 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 53c | 733.68$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Suns | 56c | 698$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 45c | 670$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 617.45$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 67c | 563.36$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Suns | 55c | 549.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Lakers | 42c | 383.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Suns | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Suns | 73c | 273.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Lakers | 43c | 266.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Suns | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Lakers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Suns | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2556…b00ebacked Lakers | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Suns | 53c | 166.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Lakers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Lakers | 45c | 128.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c6…830cbacked Lakers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…db9abacked Lakers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Lakers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Suns | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Lakers | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…9580backed Lakers | 79c | 89.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Lakers | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Lakers | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Lakers | 22c | 70.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Lakers | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Suns | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 50c | 53.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Suns | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Lakers | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Suns | 56c | 45.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Suns | 55c | 43.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Lakers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…a8c5backed Lakers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Lakers | 51c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Lakers | 55c | 36.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Lakers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Lakers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked Lakers | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lakers | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 45c | 24.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Suns | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)this page
- Lakers vs. SunsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.