NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7691038177addaa4d3a408dd157724496c902260a386f775ed3f43e48834e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 9,010$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 6,601$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.66 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Under | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…1587backed Under | 53c | 2,089$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 14c | 2,010$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.21 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…8eeabacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Under | 41c | 1,400$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.87 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 47c | 1,250$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.41 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 1,172$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Under | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…ce62backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Under | 53c | 566.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.64 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Over | 70c | 560$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 536.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 504.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 414$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 394$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Over | 5c | 301.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 252$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 7cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 24c | 134.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 54c | 94.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 75c | 90.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 85.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 48c | 73.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 63.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…b053backed Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed Over | 51c | 40.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 51c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5this page
- Lakers vs. SunsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.