NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1089b614ccd44ff787ca4c5b2ec76f5f3d2dbf7f971c8311df35d21677893732

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 15, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,373 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x60b2…3ccebacked Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	51c	4,027$2,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,974.34	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	52c	2,096$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.12	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over	55c	1,182$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	157	56.7%89 W · 68 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	54c	1,087$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	49c	689.28$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.53	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Over	55c	603.64$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	46c	542.06$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.84	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	49c	299.99$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	51c	220$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.14	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	337	43.6%147 W · 190 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	357	39.8%142 W · 215 L	-25.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	51c	155.37$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over	55c	121.82$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	49c	90$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Over	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Under	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	336	50.6%170 W · 166 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	173	50.9%88 W · 85 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over	50c	27.23$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-12.7wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb1ad…cc15backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event