NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c415f7fc9d5c5f5b3ced959fde6e7d384c48f0f923a7e6d94b1fcd4632ab0df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 2,075$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.47 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Under | 44c | 1,854$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.76 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 1,436$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 1,383$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.5 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 940.41$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.41 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 61c | 825.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 25c | 762.54$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 51c | 762.02$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.39 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 682$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 56c | 444.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 5c | 402.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 378$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 44c | 226.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 197.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Over | 54c | 189.09$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 57c | 175.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 120.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 41c | 96.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 46.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 39.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efe…df51backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 34.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Under | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5this page
- Lakers vs. SunsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 231.5Under won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.