NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x426c191ccf720d3f34e2f274471522002e0becfbfc2c68239ce0f3e1f99af9c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Rockets, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Rockets | 52c | 159,370$83,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,436.64 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 48c | 41,500$19,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,580 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 41,120$19,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,793.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 48c | 20,600$9,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,712 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 47c | 20,130$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,568.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 48c | 20,010$9,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,405.24 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 17,420$8,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,814.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,263$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,334.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,896$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 4,525$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.14 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 50c | 3,985$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 47c | 3,578$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.59 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rockets | 53c | 3,502$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.19 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.75 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,745$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,946$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,892$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.69 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 55c | 1,640$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,609$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.59 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,492$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,251$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.36 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,196$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets | 50c | 1,051$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.62 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 821.12$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.77 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 749.65$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Nuggets | 52c | 738.31$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Rockets | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 616$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nuggets | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Nuggets | 49c | 328.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.32 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 241.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Nuggets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Rockets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Nuggets | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Nuggets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 155$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 137.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Nuggets | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Nuggets | 53c | 113.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Rockets | 50c | 112.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Nuggets | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Rockets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…a062backed Rockets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Rockets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Nuggets | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Nuggets | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…8ecebacked Nuggets | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 88 | 75%66 W · 22 L | +12.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…503fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Nuggets | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rockets | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Rockets | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Rockets | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Nuggets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Nuggets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Rockets | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Rockets | 51c | 34.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Nuggets | 51c | 34.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Nuggets | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Nuggets | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Rockets | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Nuggets | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed Nuggets | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Rockets | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 244 | 46.7%114 W · 130 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6156…6ad5backed Nuggets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Rockets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…146fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Rockets won
- Nuggets vs. RocketsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.