NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90012781d47ae08918981642fb6cc1efeb2b8eb0c8f6c29cd709f5cbbbb75eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Wizards, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,183,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,149,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,183,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Wizards | 12c | 502,702$59,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,624.92 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Wizards | 11c | 75,928$8,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,352.08 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 11c | 56,363$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.92 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Wizards | 12c | 25,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…b6a9backed Wizards | 5c | 16,111$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 12,818$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Wizards | 12c | 11,353$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.36 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Wizards | 0c | 10,565$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wizards | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Wizards | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Wizards | 11c | 9,999$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 8c | 9,571$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.71 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Wizards | 12c | 7,340$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.8 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 11c | 7,290$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.83 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 6,541$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.72 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Wizards | 10c | 6,035$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.52 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 8c | 4,753$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…45adbacked Wizards | 11c | 4,690$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 4c | 4,499$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 8c | 4,221$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Wizards | 11c | 4,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Wizards | 12c | 3,525$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,300$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wizards | 12c | 3,264$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.1 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wizards | 12c | 3,225$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.73 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wizards | 12c | 3,092$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 11c | 2,750$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 6c | 2,539$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Wizards | 10c | 2,361$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…47a8backed Wizards | 12c | 2,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Wizards | 7c | 2,200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…7282backed Wizards | 12c | 2,142$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Wizards | 13c | 2,098$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Wizards | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Wizards | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Wizards | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 3c | 1,957$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…e8ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,804$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…8928backed Wizards | 12c | 1,766$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Wizards | 6c | 1,647$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,545$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wizards | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wizards | 11c | 1,492$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Wizards | 12c | 1,440$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Wizards | 12c | 1,254$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Wizards | 1c | 1,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Wizards | 11c | 1,197$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…0373backed Wizards | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 12c | 1,119$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…9484backed Wizards | 6c | 1,090$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…cff9backed Wizards | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,026$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…3c44backed Wizards | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Wizards | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked Wizards | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Wizards | 12c | 925$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…f117backed Wizards | 13c | 888.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Wizards | 12c | 834$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251a…79bdbacked Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…28c9backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…b2a5backed Wizards | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +15.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Wizards | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Wizards | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Wizards | 12c | 760$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Wizards | 11c | 735$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Wizards | 6c | 710$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Wizards | 9c | 708.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Wizards | 8c | 589.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -12.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Wizards | 2c | 583.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Wizards | 12c | 566.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Wizards | 11c | 565.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Wizards | 2c | 551.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 123 | 4.9%6 W · 117 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfe…8861backed Wizards | 12c | 550.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 12c | 543.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…3fa2backed Wizards | 11c | 527.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Wizards | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Wizards | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…7c34backed Wizards | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…450fbacked Wizards | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Wizards | 11c | 489.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Wizards | 11c | 482.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wizards | 11c | 482.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…982bbacked Wizards | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Wizards | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Wizards | 12c | 426.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 11c | 421.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965e…0062backed Wizards | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-12.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Raptors won
- Wizards vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Raptors: O/U 240.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.