Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0743dc058056ee1074522637673edebdada8ae7e9474ed2ffc209d892c0a68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 15c | 15,296$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.21 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 12c | 11,330$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.09 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 76c | 6,666$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 4c | 5,954$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.55 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…f848backed Yes | 6c | 4,462$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Yes | 68c | 4,105$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 3,860$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…965bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,215$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…c34dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,081$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.12 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…3cecbacked Yes | 20c | 2,492$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed No | 37c | 2,088$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,075$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…7b5abacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,396$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,378$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.83 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,264$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…3618backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 15c | 1,245$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.95 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 68c | 1,200$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22df…5ce1backed Yes | 2c | 1,087$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 21c | 900$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 812.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 38c | 787.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…b16bbacked Yes | 3c | 774.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f38…641abacked Yes | 3c | 745.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 6c | 715.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 17c | 673.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 57c | 626.45$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…b08fbacked Yes | 49c | 546.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88df…a457backed Yes | 46c | 544.24$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 14c | 535.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a8f8backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…7922backed Yes | 8c | 370.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 17c | 329.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…3f31backed Yes | 69c | 256.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff8a…9f30backed Yes | 11c | 205.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 42c | 205.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Yes | 17c | 200.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…4445backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…ba6bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed No | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed Yes | 33c | 174$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…0b2fbacked Yes | 35c | 172.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…4cd7backed Yes | 47c | 161.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…06cbbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…64ddbacked No | 75c | 149.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba7…ab1fbacked No | 68c | 142.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…d83dbacked Yes | 58c | 135$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…4ac7backed No | 77c | 130.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 67c | 126.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…9e8abacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…8e9ebacked No | 79c | 119.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…7da1backed Yes | 16c | 112.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…bf4fbacked Yes | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…db93backed No | 65c | 106.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…5edfbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +394.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1f9bbacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Yes | 23c | 86.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…2d76backed No | 59c | 84.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…a1fcbacked Yes | 27c | 81.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e1…e083backed Yes | 33c | 71.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…ad1dbacked No | 74c | 69.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…4494backed Yes | 38c | 65.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796e…a06bbacked Yes | 43c | 57.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27dc…5f55backed Yes | 50c | 55.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…ae60backed Yes | 50c | 52.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…9fcbbacked Yes | 59c | 50.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…1650backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1635…cdc4backed Yes | 52c | 49.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2b…612cbacked No | 50c | 49.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…c23abacked Yes | 52c | 49.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…f6f5backed No | 49c | 48.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…7a4dbacked Yes | 35c | 48.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6becbacked Yes | 46c | 48.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…1dd0backed No | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…b5f4backed No | 50c | 47.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…6c58backed Yes | 43c | 46.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…ead4backed No | 50c | 46.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f3…d5f4backed No | 47c | 46.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d76…c247backed Yes | 36c | 43.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed No | 46c | 43.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…fd89backed Yes | 49c | 43.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 48c | 41.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d49…4505backed No | 51c | 41.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…f52fbacked No | 49c | 41.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…c5bebacked Yes | 49c | 40.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…7549backed Yes | 53c | 40.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…2e96backed Yes | 53c | 40.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…a4e6backed Yes | 62c | 38.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb607…c44cbacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…db1cbacked Yes | 55c | 33.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0d…1fa6backed Yes | 49c | 32.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 1-7?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.