NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97068a886b2e52fa199d9f3dde5d8ffc1a5b8a4f5ce8c55c21bed33db6bb22b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Stars | 53c | 64,120$33,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,381.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jets | 48c | 26,043$12,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,567.71 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jets | 47c | 24,692$11,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,578.42 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jets | 47c | 15,194$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.53 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 48c | 9,111$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Stars | 51c | 6,800$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Jets | 50c | 5,942$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Stars | 51c | 5,260$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.41 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 56c | 4,336$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.55 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Stars | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jets | 17c | 3,616$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.65 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 79c | 2,741$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Stars | 50c | 2,661$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.5 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars | 65c | 2,102$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.56 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Jets | 49c | 2,055$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.95 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Jets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Jets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jets | 50c | 1,971$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.5 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Stars | 50c | 1,836$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.88 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 69c | 1,590$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.62 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jets | 1c | 1,544$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…ca78backed Jets | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…250cbacked Stars | 52c | 1,349$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 51c | 1,290$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.02 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Jets | 2c | 1,153$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Jets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 49c | 930.17$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jets | 47c | 904.26$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…287fbacked Stars | 52c | 833$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Jets | 49c | 827.96$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.7 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Jets | 49c | 793.86$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 49c | 704.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Jets | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4857…510dbacked Jets | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…ba4ebacked Stars | 51c | 520$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Jets | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Jets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Jets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Stars | 52c | 484.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 50c | 472$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Jets | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Jets | 43c | 419.64$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Jets | 45c | 404$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Stars | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Jets | 5c | 375.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jets | 20c | 367$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Stars | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…038ebacked Stars | 52c | 332.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 50c | 322.12$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Stars | 50c | 316$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Stars | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Jets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…da60backed Jets | 49c | 294$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 71c | 285.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…805dbacked Jets | 49c | 277$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…0555backed Jets | 49c | 274$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Stars | 49c | 259.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.59 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Stars | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…71ecbacked Stars | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 43c | 238.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Stars | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Jets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Jets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…19d0backed Jets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Stars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Stars | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Stars | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Jets | 12c | 163.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Stars | 65c | 161.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stars | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…942fbacked Jets | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…a109backed Stars | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…5079backed Jets | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…0e8dbacked Jets | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4530…ef12backed Stars | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 52c | 132$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Jets | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…e967backed Stars | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Jets | 47c | 120.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…27b1backed Jets | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Jets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jets | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Jets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…b802backed Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Stars | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Jets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Stars | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Jets | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Jets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Stars | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 45c | 72.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Stars | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jets | 40c | 66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Stars | 71c | 55.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Jetsthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Jets won
- Stars vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.