CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f34007144cf60dc20cff1bd4bd459a206ef0a95f4f762a18c3e9884ac23a082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 9,899$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.64 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 8,565$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.08 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 8,006$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.43 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 7,716$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.36 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 7,381$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.8 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 6,827$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.88 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 6,615$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.67 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 5,505$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,358.3 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 5,480$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,428$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.77 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 4,316$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 3,013$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.7 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,745$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.56 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.99 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,094$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.18 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,081$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.84 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,999$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.3 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…41a7backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,904$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,481$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,444$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,160$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 859.26$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 845.74$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.52 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 790.11$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…aaf4backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 769.36$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 636.6$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.47 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 623.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63f…8032backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 447.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 435$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 408.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 381.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 375$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 318.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 250.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 233.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 222$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 221$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 218.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 199$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…09babacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 180$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…3db7backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 165.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 164.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 151.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Aurora Gaming | 38c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 140$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 135.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 130.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 116.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…d220backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 116.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…0068backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 111.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 107.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 104.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 101.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 100.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…47aabacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 79.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 76.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 76.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 67.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 57.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 47.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 46.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 45.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 45.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 44.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d0…246ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 36.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 36.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.