CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs MIBR (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd918c49f6a979dd5a877a2010c6e60e8d1e5324b080314ead6165d6f120f0088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Lynn Vision, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 26,483$11,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,910.27 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked MIBR | 55c | 23,222$12,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.86 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Lynn Vision | 48c | 4,197$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MIBR | 56c | 4,012$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.28 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed MIBR | 55c | 3,090$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.75 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MIBR | 56c | 2,939$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.06 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Lynn Vision | 47c | 2,690$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.65 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MIBR | 68c | 2,363$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.89 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MIBR | 56c | 1,271$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.1 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MIBR | 53c | 1,160$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.2 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MIBR | 55c | 730.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked MIBR | 75c | 699.02$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 619.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed MIBR | 55c | 618.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Lynn Vision | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Lynn Vision | 12c | 409.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MIBR | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed MIBR | 54c | 383.75$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 54c | 298$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Lynn Vision | 49c | 233.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked Lynn Vision | 49c | 204.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 55c | 199$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed MIBR | 53c | 187.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MIBR | 56c | 176.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed MIBR | 54c | 155.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Lynn Vision | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 113.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MIBR | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lynn Vision | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked MIBR | 55c | 64.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Lynn Vision | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Lynn Vision | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed MIBR | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Lynn Vision | 43c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed MIBR | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed MIBR | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.