NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33a5be22ec165ef82835348974cada97d54f31accd146a23ed385db3c223c7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 33c | 62,721$20,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,561.03 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 63c | 57,165$36,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,909.02 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Hawks | 67c | 26,221$17,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,538.08 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Hawks | 39c | 25,555$9,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,588.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Hawks | 66c | 19,339$12,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.32 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Heat | 61c | 17,605$10,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,739.03 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 66c | 17,529$11,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,017.55 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 51c | 6,614$3,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.06 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 45c | 5,315$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 47c | 5,312$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Hawks | 39c | 4,079$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.16 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 60c | 3,752$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.71 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Hawks | 57c | 3,600$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 53c | 2,886$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.45 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 67c | 2,520$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.4 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Heat | 60c | 2,503$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.37 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 64c | 2,406$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.48 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawks | 61c | 2,194$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.63 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Hawks | 67c | 2,080$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hawks | 50c | 2,055$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.65 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 47c | 1,965$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.62 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks | 67c | 1,623$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 52c | 1,572$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Heat | 38c | 1,504$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Heat | 28c | 1,500$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks | 61c | 1,490$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.64 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Hawks | 64c | 1,298$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.23 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Heat | 28c | 1,200$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hawks | 36c | 1,147$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.51 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Heat | 67c | 1,034$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.78 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawks | 58c | 944.73$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.19 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Heat | 65c | 872$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Hawks | 5c | 865.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.93 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Heat | 47c | 856.67$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Hawks | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f27ebacked Heat | 34c | 764.93$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 45c | 760.11$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.09 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Heat | 49c | 748.98$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hawks | 53c | 708.51$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hawks | 49c | 702.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.26 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Hawks | 37c | 631$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.91 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…e0d4backed Heat | 42c | 612.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Heat | 33c | 605.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hawks | 64c | 560$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hawks | 69c | 542.25$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 58c | 507.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Heat | 49c | 466.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…05bdbacked Hawks | 55c | 437.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Heat | 28c | 420$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Heat | 59c | 406$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hawks | 66c | 396$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Hawks | 61c | 390.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…4bc7backed Hawks | 30c | 384$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Heat | 58c | 377.9$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 39c | 371$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Heat | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Hawks | 67c | 325.37$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Heat | 35c | 316.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Heat | 34c | 298$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Hawks | 65c | 298$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Heat | 30c | 296.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Heat | 34c | 293.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Hawks | 40c | 289$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Heat | 58c | 281.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.15 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Heat | 8c | 278$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Hawks | 35c | 275$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.15 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 65c | 257$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 47c | 255.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Heat | 28c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hawks | 57c | 245$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Hawks | 52c | 244.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Hawks | 43c | 241.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hawks | 31c | 230$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.72 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Hawks | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 165 | 40%66 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Hawks | 61c | 207$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Heat | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hawks | 66c | 199.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Hawks | 42c | 196.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 288 | 44.8%129 W · 159 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 52c | 190.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Hawks | 41c | 190.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Heat | 65c | 170.91$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Hawks | 67c | 161.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…8e60backed Heat | 34c | 161.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…ef6fbacked Hawks | 67c | 156.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawks | 56c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Heat | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…c394backed Heat | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Hawks | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Hawks | 12c | 138.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Hawks | 33c | 135.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Heat | 48c | 134.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Hawks | 28c | 129.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Hawks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Hawks | 54c | 116$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Hawks | 36c | 115$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Heat | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…b436backed Heat | 19c | 100.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Hawksthis page
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.