CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs fnatic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3afbc860a631994025e1996fd1b9303a6ce991a9d438835d1ed691690ddb22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof TYLOO, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 0c | 8,380$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TYLOO | 55c | 1,678$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.77 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked fnatic | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed fnatic | 47c | 1,070$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.57 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed TYLOO | 57c | 871.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed fnatic | 44c | 848.06$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.27 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked TYLOO | 71c | 708.92$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.62 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TYLOO | 52c | 643.89$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.63 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked fnatic | 45c | 578.64$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.66 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TYLOO | 55c | 458$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed fnatic | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed fnatic | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked TYLOO | 56c | 387.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TYLOO | 49c | 363.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic | 42c | 335.86$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TYLOO | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed TYLOO | 57c | 228.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed fnatic | 44c | 221.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed fnatic | 45c | 221.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic | 49c | 220$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed fnatic | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed fnatic | 71c | 207.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…fc81backed TYLOO | 57c | 206.18$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed TYLOO | 56c | 153.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked TYLOO | 54c | 152.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked fnatic | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…8e2ebacked TYLOO | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TYLOO | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TYLOO | 55c | 109.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked fnatic | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed fnatic | 31c | 101.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked fnatic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed fnatic | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed fnatic | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TYLOO | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 42c | 60.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed TYLOO | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed fnatic | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed fnatic | 43c | 58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed fnatic | 47c | 53.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed fnatic | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed fnatic | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TYLOO | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed TYLOO | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed fnatic | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…01a9backed TYLOO | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked fnatic | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked TYLOO | 55c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed fnatic | 70c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.