NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd322c8eb860bd18baede396d20c249cad3a27c3e573c6d742aefea08e52a72ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons | 52c | 126,918$66,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,737.44 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 48c | 70,231$34,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,024.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 47c | 25,303$11,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,945.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Pistons | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 47c | 17,220$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,093.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 48c | 11,657$5,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,595.28 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,980$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,580$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.4 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mavericks | 47c | 6,703$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.27 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Pistons | 49c | 4,830$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.44 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,823$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.71 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,679$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,286$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.28 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Mavericks | 50c | 992.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Pistons | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pistons | 53c | 666.28$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.15 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks | 48c | 621.18$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Pistons | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks | 51c | 456$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 399.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pistons | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Pistons | 52c | 288.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Mavericks | 48c | 275$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pistons | 50c | 244$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mavericks | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Pistons | 53c | 189.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Mavericks | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Mavericks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Mavericks | 47c | 108$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Mavericks | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Pistons | 51c | 67.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528e…a0bdbacked Pistons | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Mavericks | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Pistons | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…9e28backed Mavericks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…591abacked Pistons | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Mavericks | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pistons | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Mavericks | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Mavericks | 49c | 33.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…a9f1backed Pistons | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Mavericks | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…3183backed Pistons | 53c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…9ee1backed Mavericks | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Mavericks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.