MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c39680a631a04c92010c1ba2e3d007a0ef74ebabf8225b7a88946187cd010a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 47c | 17,089$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.72 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 4c | 14,983$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 53c | 6,195$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 55c | 5,366$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.71 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Royals | 40c | 4,196$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.04 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Royals | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…61aabacked Royals | 47c | 3,600$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Royals | 45c | 2,926$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.45 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 55c | 2,714$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.68 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Royals | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Royals | 12c | 2,056$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.28 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 53c | 1,987$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.89 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rays | 54c | 1,811$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.02 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…2238backed Royals | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…49afbacked Royals | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…6c12backed Rays | 53c | 1,702$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Rays | 54c | 1,642$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.16 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 2c | 1,579$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Rays | 78c | 1,522$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.83 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 46c | 1,408$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.8 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Rays | 48c | 1,305$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 53c | 1,305$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d7…446cbacked Rays | 54c | 1,203$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…d615backed Rays | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…3cf2backed Rays | 53c | 1,185$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 56c | 986.85$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.85 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…9e4dbacked Rays | 53c | 942$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Rays | 71c | 933.38$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…9528backed Rays | 53c | 858$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 53c | 822.05$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Royals | 43c | 790.55$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.86 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 54c | 745.45$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.45 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Rays | 54c | 744.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Royals | 5c | 733.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 45c | 708.45$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rays | 54c | 699.91$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.96 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 51c | 690.44$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Royals | 3c | 610.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Rays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 55c | 549.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays | 53c | 530$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 76c | 485.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rays | 54c | 411.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.11 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…6155backed Rays | 52c | 334$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Rays | 75c | 241.61$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 46c | 225$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rays | 69c | 220.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 53c | 212.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Rays | 53c | 211.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 17c | 204.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rays | 51c | 193.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Royals | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rays | 53c | 187.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 23c | 184.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Rays | 54c | 181.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 65c | 172.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Royals | 45c | 163.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Rays | 53c | 152$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Rays | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Royals | 47c | 130.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Royals | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Royals | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Rays | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Rays | 54c | 100.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 53c | 100.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…51e8backed Royals | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…6b1cbacked Rays | 45c | 90.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Rays | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Royals | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…170cbacked Rays | 49c | 74.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Rays | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Rays | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Royals | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…ee68backed Rays | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Rays | 53c | 63.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Rays | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 46c | 51.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb97…add3backed Rays | 54c | 49.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Rays | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Rays | 53c | 46.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked Royals | 47c | 45.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Rays | 54c | 44.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Royals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.