TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Bulls, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed Bulls1c41,686$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Bulls74c29,447$21,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,790.4711842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks21c19,110$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,039.193,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Hawks58c16,693$9,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,948.5715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Bulls31c15,021$4,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,674.129952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls0c10,200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.941,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…171fbacked Bulls32c10,028$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf496…1094backed Hawks68c10,013$6,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks62c8,894$5,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,373.0965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hawks47c5,336$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.0861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Bulls1c4,716$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.564420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Hawks68c4,439$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.3530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls32c4,056$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.731,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks65c3,169$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.4985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Hawks67c2,971$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9716855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Bulls35c2,800$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9805330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Bulls32c2,575$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8145269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Hawks5c2,550$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.2219231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Bulls36c2,370$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.847542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bulls0c2,263$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7637011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hawks34c2,228$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks67c2,040$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.4373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls35c1,882$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.891,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Hawks70c1,735$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.511225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9c0…7e50backed Hawks1c1,700$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6831435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+703.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls31c1,492$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4946928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2758…66e1backed Hawks68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Bulls32c1,390$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.816838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Hawks3c1,233$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.3319452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Hawks1c1,200$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1844316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls20c1,188$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.511,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Bulls32c1,187$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1a…e11bbacked Hawks2c1,165$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.94540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+1,272.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks60c1,100$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.241,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Hawks63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37017243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bulls32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls32c1,000$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3225651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Hawks68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Bulls32c999.53$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.218040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Hawks69c966.67$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.673627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Hawks46c914.38$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7227739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks68c911.05$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5429148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…11d3backed Hawks44c893.43$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa901…945ebacked Hawks70c870.91$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls30c863.34$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks69c850.01$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Hawks70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2915558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Bulls31c635.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks68c603.12$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.721,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321a…b052backed Hawks70c588.45$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.681190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks63c569.89$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls31c566.08$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.981,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Bulls36c527.19$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7915237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls68c490.13$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3825957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks37c488.58$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.335,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed Bulls32c475.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bulls33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Hawks65c439.49$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4115947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Bulls70c428.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab08…376fbacked Bulls38c414.52$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Hawks61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Bulls50c399.98$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.996743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Bulls54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks12c346.06$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.371,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Bulls63c336.82$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.219939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Bulls31c330.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.462725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…dd1bbacked Bulls31c325.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd167…2f14backed Hawks70c325.71$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls31c318.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Bulls36c318.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5919746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131f…6a28backed Bulls32c312.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82cf…defdbacked Bulls31c309.68$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Hawks70c309.29$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.795354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Hawks57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13035165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Bulls30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.995240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bulls30c299.96$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Hawks15c299.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.383444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hawks68c297.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hawks69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8656348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Bulls35c288.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Bulls32c282.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.446943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e8…32b3backed Bulls33c280$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0faf…d256backed Bulls32c253.13$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Bulls33c241.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.734344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks50c240.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9516341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks69c237$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4711662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5e4…ad27backed Bulls51c236.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Bulls73c235.59$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.985453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls6c233$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Hawks67c222.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks67c222$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks5c200.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.151,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce88…4d96backed Bulls36c200.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.51825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x854b…a53bbacked Hawks69c199.75$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.821060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Bulls38c199.1$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.14030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.