NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6293e72f178370d8513e780320da33863db7dc280a597a2d463d2e2a00f96662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof 76ers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 49c | 18,000$8,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,187.22 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Magic | 68c | 17,966$12,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.53 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed 76ers | 51c | 15,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Magic | 52c | 13,825$7,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 49c | 11,855$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.14 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 50c | 10,542$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed 76ers | 49c | 10,102$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.27 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…e4cfbacked Magic | 53c | 10,049$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…bf65backed 76ers | 48c | 10,041$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…2d43backed Magic | 52c | 10,033$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed 76ers | 47c | 10,022$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked 76ers | 33c | 8,548$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,839.94 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Magic | 54c | 8,283$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.34 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 55c | 7,322$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.2 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Magic | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Magic | 55c | 5,756$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.06 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Magic | 53c | 5,112$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.07 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Magic | 66c | 5,112$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.96 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed 76ers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked 76ers | 46c | 4,761$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.29 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked 76ers | 50c | 4,040$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Magic | 63c | 3,997$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.37 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers | 35c | 3,919$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.28 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Magic | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 46c | 3,486$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.13 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…d660backed 76ers | 48c | 3,480$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 50c | 3,102$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.03 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked 76ers | 31c | 3,093$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.83 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 50c | 3,081$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.71 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 52c | 2,930$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee9…d29abacked Magic | 48c | 2,696$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 53c | 2,531$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.47 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…bdaebacked 76ers | 48c | 2,521$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Magic | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.23 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed 76ers | 3c | 2,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Magic | 43c | 2,377$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.41 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed 76ers | 35c | 2,372$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.83 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…11d0backed Magic | 52c | 2,324$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 69c | 2,188$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 29c | 2,180$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.05 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 31c | 2,054$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.38 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,047$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Magic | 61c | 2,047$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.72 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Magic | 62c | 2,028$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.29 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Magic | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed 76ers | 41c | 1,850$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.31 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers | 41c | 1,696$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.58 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 53c | 1,654$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.14 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked 76ers | 5c | 1,612$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed 76ers | 61c | 1,581$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Magic | 53c | 1,560$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.53 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 73c | 1,540$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.34 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Magic | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,398$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.79 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Magic | 49c | 1,370$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Magic | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed 76ers | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d7…fab0backed 76ers | 64c | 1,287$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Magic | 56c | 1,249$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed 76ers | 52c | 1,236$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 61c | 1,215$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 47c | 1,169$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Magic | 59c | 1,155$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.02 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked 76ers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Magic | 53c | 1,075$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.84 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 49c | 1,048$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.55 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Magic | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 56c | 1,000$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…b2a3backed 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed 76ers | 47c | 997.11$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.67 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Magic | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…3d32backed Magic | 69c | 954.05$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked 76ers | 49c | 924.93$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.22 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed 76ers | 54c | 922.62$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Magic | 47c | 869.33$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Magic | 53c | 849.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.44 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed 76ers | 49c | 814.28$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers | 46c | 812.95$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Magic | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…857ebacked 76ers | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Magic | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers | 49c | 799.98$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.66 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked 76ers | 58c | 775.37$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.96 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…6345backed 76ers | 44c | 768.53$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…e12abacked 76ers | 53c | 706.37$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 61c | 705.64$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 51c | 672.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.13 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked 76ers | 57c | 670$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Magic | 52c | 623.93$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.49 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…f9eabacked Magic | 47c | 561.79$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 76ers | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Magic | 69c | 549.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed 76ers | 47c | 539.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…beecbacked Magic | 59c | 510.94$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.