NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca7be2ec3c6fdddbc4fd183d6979d653e6270c6ac2bcd0134e36c923e7cb2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Canucks, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 153,000$96,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…d406backed Canucks | 37c | 153,000$56,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,390 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 6,001$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canucks | 49c | 4,341$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.84 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 13c | 2,949$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.33 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,854$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.69 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Maple Leafs | 7c | 1,598$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Canucks | 37c | 1,571$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.98 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Canucks | 36c | 1,377$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.31 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Canucks | 38c | 729.67$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.69 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 36c | 563.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 500$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Canucks | 37c | 482.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 51c | 454.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Canucks | 38c | 416.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Canucks | 67c | 406.42$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.41 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canucks | 37c | 372.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 365.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Canucks | 37c | 301.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.13 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canucks | 54c | 276.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Canucks | 37c | 270.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Canucks | 37c | 244.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 240.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 236.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canucks | 37c | 204.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 204.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 199$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 197.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks | 35c | 196.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Canucks | 53c | 190.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 165.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 132.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Canucks | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Canucks | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 121.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 119.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Canucks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Canucks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…b966backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 94.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…8a3fbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 90.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 89.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b921backed Canucks | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canucks | 58c | 74.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Canucks | 37c | 70.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…d771backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 60.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9530backed Canucks | 37c | 60.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 59.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 56.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…ad64backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bb…0925backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…6783backed Canucks | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…38fabacked Canucks | 36c | 41.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3805…059abacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 41.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…5ef0backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…0296backed Canucks | 29c | 37.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b41…ed85backed Canucks | 37c | 37.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…e87bbacked Canucks | 36c | 36.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d5…80c1backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf8…bf88backed Canucks | 37c | 35.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…4e50backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 35.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Canucks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…4c8dbacked Canucks | 36c | 35.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…1e21backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 33.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6052…5343backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 33.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…591dbacked Canucks | 37c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…c5fcbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…2f48backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 32.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…cfb2backed Canucks | 38c | 31.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a6…ce40backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f6…53fabacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…ac5bbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe8…d638backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3370…5cecbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 30.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…e1bebacked Canucks | 37c | 30.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…45b8backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 30.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…729abacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 30.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…f140backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 30.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…1c20backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 30.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…c9d2backed Canucks | 37c | 30.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…4b33backed Canucks | 37c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…08b2backed Maple Leafs | 63c | 29.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…4c6ebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 29.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…e9edbacked Canucks | 38c | 29.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…bd0cbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…9b6dbacked Maple Leafs | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…27ecbacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 27.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…befebacked Maple Leafs | 63c | 27.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.