NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef080e863f0b3ab2b5327248f5fc2749d2a108a0b18f64bb02c5bb691db8b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Hurricanes, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ec…f0fcbacked Lightning | 48c | 10,025$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…621ebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 10,020$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…2ae1backed Hurricanes | 52c | 3,970$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 3,522$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.06 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Lightning | 48c | 2,900$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 48c | 2,207$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.19 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Lightning | 48c | 1,730$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,730$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Lightning | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Hurricanes | 2c | 1,020$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes | 52c | 999.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes | 51c | 999.78$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.89 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Lightning | 63c | 937.72$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…734dbacked Lightning | 48c | 902.67$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Hurricanes | 53c | 749$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 741.3$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Hurricanes | 51c | 699.93$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 539.45$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hurricanes | 6c | 510$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Hurricanes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Lightning | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 499.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Lightning | 54c | 498$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Lightning | 48c | 477.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 46c | 463.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Lightning | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Lightning | 48c | 380.89$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Hurricanes | 53c | 359.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 355.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Lightning | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 51c | 299.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lightning | 47c | 255.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Hurricanes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Hurricanes | 53c | 241.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Lightning | 47c | 221.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x512f…404ebacked Hurricanes | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…46b8backed Lightning | 49c | 213.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…2afdbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 210.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…2b85backed Hurricanes | 52c | 209.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…e4e5backed Lightning | 49c | 209.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…43babacked Hurricanes | 52c | 207.12$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab5…4efebacked Lightning | 50c | 207.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…181abacked Lightning | 50c | 207.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lightning | 47c | 206.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.68 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1c…bff3backed Hurricanes | 52c | 204.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…4a6bbacked Lightning | 50c | 204.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lightning | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 28c | 202.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…ceadbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Hurricanes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Hurricanes | 52c | 191.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 47c | 182.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lightning | 50c | 154.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lightning | 47c | 154$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Hurricanes | 49c | 140$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 16c | 123.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…9428backed Hurricanes | 52c | 115.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…c509backed Lightning | 49c | 114.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…2233backed Hurricanes | 52c | 112.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…7c8abacked Lightning | 49c | 109.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…f886backed Hurricanes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…6d59backed Hurricanes | 53c | 102.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lightning | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Lightning | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Hurricanes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…7cfcbacked Lightning | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…1144backed Lightning | 49c | 97.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 96.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…ddedbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…bd98backed Hurricanes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…a6a8backed Lightning | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…0fcfbacked Lightning | 48c | 94.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…bd03backed Lightning | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…d053backed Hurricanes | 52c | 89.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…b261backed Hurricanes | 54c | 88.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 47c | 87.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268e…209fbacked Lightning | 49c | 87.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1b20backed Lightning | 48c | 86.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 86.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Lightning | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…0ed2backed Hurricanes | 53c | 78.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Lightning | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Lightning | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…ff24backed Lightning | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Lightning | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…95d1backed Lightning | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…a266backed Hurricanes | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…8cbcbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 48c | 56.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lightning | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Hurricanes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Hurricanes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.