NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6db485667206ca06759af928e7af0d8bf0b95b02056ac5b0c4b3d6b4fad07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Capitals, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Capitals | 44c | 6,327$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 57c | 5,890$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.83 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 2c | 2,637$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 1,914$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.59 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 57c | 1,608$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.56 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 43c | 1,356$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.72 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 59c | 1,007$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.2 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Capitals | 6c | 840$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Capitals | 48c | 831.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Capitals | 17c | 708.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Capitals | 11c | 624.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Capitals | 57c | 614.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 74c | 595$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 567.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 43c | 499.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 50c | 496.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Red Wings | 43c | 384$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 58c | 313.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Capitals | 43c | 286.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 42c | 254.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Red Wings | 43c | 237.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Capitals | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 53c | 229.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Capitals | 58c | 211.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings | 43c | 210.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Capitals | 57c | 187.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 63c | 148.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 30c | 131.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 43c | 130.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Capitals | 58c | 127.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Capitals | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Capitals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 99.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Capitals | 45c | 89.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Capitals | 58c | 60.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Red Wings | 44c | 60.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…0a1fbacked Capitals | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527f…c048backed Capitals | 58c | 49.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe669…fdacbacked Red Wings | 44c | 48.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 57c | 43.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…9b2dbacked Red Wings | 44c | 42.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…cc74backed Red Wings | 42c | 41.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175f…0e84backed Capitals | 57c | 41.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…2394backed Capitals | 56c | 41.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…f209backed Red Wings | 43c | 40.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…3ca7backed Red Wings | 43c | 40.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Capitals | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…8f02backed Capitals | 57c | 39.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…cca8backed Capitals | 57c | 37.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f6…afdcbacked Capitals | 56c | 37.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083b…9918backed Red Wings | 44c | 35.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…232abacked Capitals | 58c | 35.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…52babacked Capitals | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…eba3backed Red Wings | 43c | 33.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…bcd7backed Capitals | 56c | 33.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…ed37backed Red Wings | 44c | 33.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…d20bbacked Capitals | 57c | 33.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6022…ff47backed Capitals | 57c | 32.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd698…afdebacked Capitals | 56c | 32.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…679bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 32.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…37d4backed Capitals | 55c | 32.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e991backed Red Wings | 43c | 32.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…48c1backed Capitals | 57c | 30.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…9d94backed Red Wings | 43c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…068bbacked Red Wings | 43c | 29.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…b1d1backed Capitals | 57c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…3bf8backed Capitals | 57c | 29.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…9e15backed Capitals | 56c | 29.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…043fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…a1aebacked Red Wings | 43c | 27.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Red Wings | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…1e00backed Red Wings | 43c | 26.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…7e12backed Red Wings | 44c | 25.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeced…a93abacked Capitals | 56c | 25.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…a053backed Capitals | 56c | 25.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…1f45backed Capitals | 57c | 25.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…444fbacked Red Wings | 43c | 25.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…57a5backed Red Wings | 44c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…7d86backed Capitals | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe236…9629backed Capitals | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7f…9ad5backed Capitals | 58c | 24.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 43c | 24.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…621cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…b583backed Capitals | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e0e2backed Capitals | 57c | 22.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…38ebbacked Capitals | 57c | 21.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…dc9abacked Capitals | 57c | 21.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…b94dbacked Capitals | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…6461backed Capitals | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…3491backed Capitals | 57c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…2b4fbacked Capitals | 56c | 18.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…6d53backed Capitals | 57c | 18.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc3…8f3ebacked Capitals | 57c | 17.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffb…2d02backed Capitals | 57c | 17.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.