NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1fa1d7fa9cf2a5ab1b765a7710a83b76bd62e92fbee8233346dcc0f425ce2f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Blackhawks | 56c | 16,977$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Oilers | 44c | 16,092$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,005.74 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 22c | 5,085$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.6 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,625$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.27 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Oilers | 55c | 1,511$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 70c | 1,384$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.59 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oilers | 45c | 1,191$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.87 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 76c | 1,033$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.02 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oilers | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks | 24c | 701.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Oilers | 77c | 641.2$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 42c | 510.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.21 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Oilers | 55c | 495.7$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 76c | 465.83$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Oilers | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Oilers | 78c | 442.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.31 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 55c | 424.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 73c | 397.1$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Blackhawks | 31c | 386.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Oilers | 57c | 363.01$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Oilers | 58c | 355.92$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed Blackhawks | 50c | 349$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks | 26c | 345.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Blackhawks | 42c | 306$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Oilers | 78c | 288.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Oilers | 72c | 285.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…cce7backed Oilers | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Oilers | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blackhawks | 45c | 245.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.16 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Blackhawks | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks | 26c | 207.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers | 72c | 204.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Blackhawks | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Blackhawks | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…b2b5backed Blackhawks | 23c | 179.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…b9adbacked Blackhawks | 56c | 178.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 65c | 170.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Oilers | 78c | 169.23$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Blackhawks | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Oilers | 76c | 119.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Blackhawks | 42c | 103.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blackhawks | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Oilers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…c4c0backed Oilers | 78c | 95.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb7…1132backed Blackhawks | 58c | 94.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…e6c3backed Oilers | 78c | 91.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…a0ddbacked Oilers | 78c | 88.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blackhawks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Oilers | 63c | 82.32$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Blackhawks | 19c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Blackhawks | 37c | 79.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…3befbacked Blackhawks | 23c | 75.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Oilers | 73c | 74.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Oilers | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…d771backed Oilers | 74c | 69.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…7794backed Blackhawks | 26c | 69.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…bc13backed Oilers | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…b78abacked Blackhawks | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 66.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 63.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…21edbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oilers | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…cebdbacked Blackhawks | 27c | 56.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Oilers | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…f9afbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Oilers | 74c | 48.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Oilers | 74c | 40.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Oilers | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Oilers | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…2f6ebacked Oilers | 74c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Oilers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Oilers | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…5835backed Oilers | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2e…60e8backed Oilers | 75c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…06ebbacked Oilers | 74c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…1916backed Oilers | 74c | 27.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…33bbbacked Oilers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…bf61backed Oilers | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…40b7backed Oilers | 44c | 26.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…46b2backed Oilers | 76c | 26.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…981cbacked Oilers | 75c | 25.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…eee1backed Oilers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…2f48backed Oilers | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…f7cebacked Oilers | 73c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…a755backed Oilers | 68c | 22.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…3d2bbacked Oilers | 74c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…b46cbacked Oilers | 74c | 21.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…cec6backed Oilers | 74c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…1116backed Oilers | 76c | 20.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…f363backed Oilers | 74c | 20.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…ced6backed Oilers | 73c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…2b70backed Oilers | 75c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…fbf4backed Oilers | 67c | 15.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…e687backed Oilers | 75c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 66cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.