NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a98a66c81e8a3061e9c384f5e2e7776278eb27e22eea8373fa68b879935aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Wild, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Golden Knights | 67c | 2,365$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.74 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wild | 31c | 1,794$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.03 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 33c | 1,188$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.81 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wild | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked Wild | 36c | 935.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Golden Knights | 66c | 934.79$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Wild | 33c | 854.87$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wild | 36c | 768.94$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 65c | 710.77$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 676.47$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 659.25$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Golden Knights | 66c | 577.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Golden Knights | 50c | 562.3$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Golden Knights | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 27c | 487.15$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 36c | 449.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Wild | 57c | 425.82$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Golden Knights | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wild | 39c | 399.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Golden Knights | 80c | 375.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Golden Knights | 62c | 374.63$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.36 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Wild | 41c | 291.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wild | 32c | 276$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Golden Knights | 68c | 258.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Wild | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 250.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Golden Knights | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Wild | 34c | 250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Golden Knights | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Wild | 57c | 230$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…b9adbacked Golden Knights | 67c | 227.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed Golden Knights | 79c | 222.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Golden Knights | 77c | 212.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Golden Knights | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Wild | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wild | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wild | 33c | 196.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfc…dc4dbacked Wild | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Golden Knights | 66c | 187.94$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wild | 32c | 184.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Wild | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild | 35c | 171$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Wild | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…8ad3backed Wild | 10c | 143.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Golden Knights | 64c | 136.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…b455backed Wild | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Golden Knights | 67c | 112.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…9e02backed Wild | 35c | 108.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…2ae0backed Wild | 35c | 102.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Wild | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Wild | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Golden Knights | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked Wild | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 37c | 99.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 56c | 99.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Golden Knights | 61c | 98.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wild | 12c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…f37fbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 92.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights | 76c | 92.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Golden Knights | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Wild | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 32c | 86.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…41e7backed Wild | 35c | 85.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…726abacked Golden Knights | 64c | 82.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…9f73backed Golden Knights | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Golden Knights | 64c | 79.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 73.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Golden Knights | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…2b93backed Golden Knights | 64c | 71.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…be2fbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 64.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…130cbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776e…b9b6backed Golden Knights | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Golden Knights | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Golden Knights | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Wild | 37c | 58.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…3868backed Wild | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e2babacked Golden Knights | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…fff5backed Wild | 39c | 51.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…a1a5backed Wild | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Wild | 27c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…d9e9backed Wild | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Wild | 25c | 48.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…f7c4backed Wild | 40c | 48.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Golden Knights | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…1027backed Wild | 39c | 45.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…7f51backed Golden Knights | 60c | 43.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Wild | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57fc…5eafbacked Wild | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…07f9backed Wild | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…43dfbacked Wild | 37c | 38.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea2…f2dabacked Golden Knights | 62c | 38.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.