Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Nice beat Bodo Glimt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc90ffc8a3f9cc9616026d94706dab912ad6504f37a1e9b8f49ba1197f73d495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 62c | 323.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 37c | 192.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 37c | 119.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 64c | 87.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 26c | 42.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed No | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…7c63backed Yes | 38c | 33.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7904…5ef0backed No | 62c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…40e9backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…ba39backed Yes | 39c | 29.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…f8fcbacked No | 61c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…76a1backed No | 63c | 28.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…c644backed Yes | 37c | 27.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…c8f3backed Yes | 39c | 26.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…0c79backed No | 63c | 24.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815c…bf5bbacked No | 62c | 21.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…8834backed No | 63c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…02bcbacked No | 60c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nice beat Bodo Glimt?this page
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Nice?No won
- Will the match between Nice and Bodo Glimt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.