Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo Glimt beat Nice?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b910e2f9433b26283f06694039a1b8b90ecaf8ff75a60ad66c899257861dca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 9,258$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.24 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 41c | 4,958$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 43c | 4,633$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 44c | 1,038$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 57c | 849.76$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 38c | 824.55$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 44c | 250$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 48c | 217.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed No | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 37c | 55.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 58c | 52.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a1…d158backed Yes | 40c | 42.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e5…a671backed No | 61c | 40.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…06b9backed Yes | 39c | 40.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…3b9abacked No | 57c | 39.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…ce1fbacked No | 60c | 34.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…2f27backed No | 62c | 32.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…b524backed Yes | 70c | 32.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…ad96backed No | 58c | 31.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…729cbacked Yes | 37c | 28.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…3c87backed No | 63c | 23.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c9…85acbacked No | 60c | 20.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…a80abacked No | 62c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…8c2cbacked No | 62c | 17.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo Glimt beat Nice?this page
- Will Nice beat Bodo Glimt?No won
- Will the match between Nice and Bodo Glimt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.