Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4261fd9ff51efbea8d09212109b2e83c81c12b56ec5ea98e8f5679bd7919e0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 48c | 17,768$8,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,597.28 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 50c | 7,462$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.23 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,473$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.58 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 55c | 2,398$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.1 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 2,125$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.75 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 1,791$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 54c | 924.98$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.49 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 760.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 630.47$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 604.04$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 53c | 580.13$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 52c | 573.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 48c | 416.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 53c | 383.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 44c | 261.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 156$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 48c | 121.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 50c | 58.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…e01fbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 50c | 54.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 50c | 50.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 50c | 50.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Yes | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 50c | 38.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 29.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 29.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 49c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…11d5backed Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.